Monday, November 30, 2009

Glacial Pace


Sen. John Ensign

Yes, in regards to the next two parts of my series on health care reform I'm moving about as fast as Congress, its pitiful really. But they're almost done, so I'll continue pretending that people read this and actually care.

It has been an important day however, so I had to make a few quick notes:
  • The Congressional Budget Office released a report saying the Dems' health insurance reform plan would reduce premiums for the majority of people buying insurance on their own (non-employer based) and that little would change in regards to pricing for those getting it through insurers. Not perfect, but certainly a plus for the good guys (i.e. those fighting for health insurance reform... not the Dems as a whole). You can see the CBO's report here or read about it in the devious liberal media.
  • John Marcotte's petition to add a proposition called the '2010 California Marriage Protection Act' to California's next voting cycle might sound like more conservative prejudice, but rather its a satirical attempt to ban divorce in California. You can see his website here.
  • The Republican party continues to implode and John Ensign refuses to resign over his extra-marital affair for the most noble of reasons. Didn't he demand Clinton resign over the Lewinsky scandal? Oh, yes... yes he did.
  • They're all guilty: I've never liked Nancy Pelosi. Add another reason to the list... she spends too much government money on flowers. Follow the link to see more examples of line items released in the quarterly listing of House office expenses.
  • And lastly, God obviously blessed this year's Haji (I'm thinking he does that every year, but anyways) as the dreaded massive outbreak of H1N1 that was feared never materialized, with only 5 deaths attributed to the disease. Unfortunately, a new strain of MRSA has emerged with a mortality rate of nearly 50%.

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

UC Berkeley Student Fee Protests!

This is a test... I've just learned how to post text, photo, and video to WSD via my cell phone. Hooray 21st century!

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

Part I: Health Insurance Reform (Finally!)

Like so many amateur bloggers out there I continually disappoint my imaginary readers by failing to follow up on posts in a timely manner. I'm referring to my intended 3-part series on health care reform that has been delayed due in large part to my starting a new research position and the massive protests here at UC Berkeley (more on all that soon).

So, I promise, its coming... really soon. All of it. Seriously.

In fact, here's Part I: Health Insurance Reform



Please be forewarned, this is not intended to be a up-to-date analysis of the latest House or Senate bill. Those damn things change every other hour as our elected representatives are busy making sure there isn't anything drastic enough in there to upset anyone, ever, about anything. Its like ripping all the teeth out of T-Rex: not nearly as effective, what's he going to do, get you with those gimpy little arms? Ha! Yeah right...

What this is intended to do is review several of the key components to effective health insurance reform that are currently being debated (and a few ignored). The next two posts will focus on what needs to happen once we complete the slow, painful crawl towards passing an insurance reform bill.

So, the big thing about the current proposal is that the Dems, and even some Republicans think we ought to have universal coverage, meaning every legal citizen of the United States should be covered by some sort of health insurance plan. The current proposal going forward is to have individual or employer mandates, basically requiring that people have health insurance by law, much in the same way that most states require that drivers have auto-insurance. An individual mandate would mean that each person is personally responsible for acquiring their own insurance, either through their employer, a private plan, or via government programs like Medicare and Medicaid for those that qualify. An employer mandate would mean that employers must provide health insurance for their employees through one of the aforementioned means, the way many businesses currently do. There would be certain exceptions for small businesses and the like due to the cost-burden that comes with this. Some argue this would stifle growth in an already hurting economy, others say (and its been proven) that over the long-term, at least, the costs are simply passed on to the employees in the form of lower wages.

Depending on the final version of the bill, both employers and individuals who do not have insurance will face fines. The government intends to provide subsidies to businesses in the form of tax breaks so that they can afford to provide insurance to their employees, as well as direct subsidies to individuals in the lower-income brackets who cannot afford insurance on their own. The insurance industry is currently all about this plan, because it adds millions of customers to its base. Much in the same way that hot-dog vendors would be really psyched if the government suddenly passed a law saying everyone had to eat hot dogs, or face a fine.

What the insurance companies do not want to see is the emergence of a public option. This is where much of the contention over the final bill lies. A public option would be an OPTIONAL government-run health insurance plan (like Medicare and Medicaid) that anyone could purchase. It would essentially provide competition to private health insurers and force them to keep their costs low, since the government wouldn't be worried about making profits. Much in the same way that the Post Office competes with companies like FedEx and UPS. This public option would, ideally, be financed by the premiums it charges for its customers. An analysis by the Congressional Budget Office determined the bill passed by the House (H.R. 3962) would actually reduce the federal deficit over 10 years. Of course the Dems have been very strategic about what they put in the bill so the price tag comes out at a politically palatable number, meaning some spending related to health care will likely be passed in separate bills. I'd be more comfortable, at this point anyways, that the entire plan will come out roughly even, give or take a few billion dollars.

I'm not going to make exhaustive arguments about why I think there should be a strong public option, since you can easily find those with a Google search. I will, however, say that major health insurers, on average, spend 16-20% of their budget on overhead (pretty inefficient by most standards) and since 1970 the number of health care administrators in the U.S. (not confined solely to insurance companies, but hospitals and other providers as well) has risen 3000% (yes, three-thousand) while the number of physicians in the U.S. has risen just 200%. Something to think about... I'll delve into that more in the next post.

But anyways, the public option would become part of a 'national insurance exchange' and compete with private insurers. But what in God's name is an insurance exchange? Professor Jacob Hacker of Yale's political science department describes it as such...

"It’s a place where individuals can go and shop for a health plan. Today, large employers can select from a choice of plans that spread risk and reduce administrative costs because of the large work force. But the options available to small employers are much more expensive. And individuals find it very difficult to get coverage. The exchange would make a range of more affordable options, including a public plan, available to individuals and employees of small businesses." The full Q&A with Dr. Hacker regarding the insurance exchange can be found here.


There are also those out there who are communist enough to want to go even further than a public option; they want a single-payer system, such as the British National Health Service (NHS). Essentially this would mean that the government is more or less the sole provider of insurance. This is not a political reality on the national stage, but there are certainly reasonable arguments in favor of this type of system. California is one state where there is considerable momentum behind the idea of a single-payer system. While politicians on the national stage don't want to touch anything this toxic for fear of being labeled a Marxist-Nazi, we may see experiments in this type of system on a state level in the coming decade.

Lastly, making these structural reforms is important, but efforts also need to be made to reduce operating costs of insurance companies (remember the overhead cost thing?). If the government is going to force millions more into the arms of insurance companies, they ought to make sure that all that money is being spent efficiently. The same applies to the government, both to its potential public option, and its current Medicaid and Medicare programs. There are several provisions within the current bill aimed at reforming Medicare and making it more efficient, and while many out there would have your grandmother thinking that Obama is going to destroy Medicare, this is hardly the case.

There you have it folks, health insurance reform. We've taken the first steps, but we're a long way off from acheiving anything. The Senate has to force a bill to the floor to be voted on, and even if something gets passed with the unlikely help of a few key 'centrist' democrats and the ever-agitating Joe Lieberman (just another reason to hate Connecticut), the House-Senate conference committee to hammer out final legislation promises to be a circus in its own right.

Parts 2 & 3 of my health care reform series will be posted by weeks' end... but don't hold me to that.

Monday, November 2, 2009

Should I Get A Flu Shot?

We're taking a brief timeout from my health care reform series to continue harping upon a subject that I may have beaten to death... but people keep asking me the question, so once again, here is my answer to, 'should I get a flu shot?'



The short answer: YES

The long answer: If possible, you should get both the seasonal influenza vaccine and the 2009 H1N1 vaccine. The seasonal, trivalent (3 strains) vaccination which protects against seasonal variants of H3N2, H1N1, and Influenza B, does not protect against the 2009 H1N1 (swine flu). A separate monovalent (1 strain) vaccine has been developed for this virus and is currently being distributed nationwide as quickly as production allows. Both vaccines come in an injectable, inactivated form or in an intranasal, attenuated (weakened) form. The nasal spray form is recommended for all healthy people aged 2-50 years old. If you fall outside those age ranges, are pregnant, or have certain chronic or immunosupressive conditions (lung disease, heart disease, asthma, etc) you should get a shot of the killed vaccine instead.

While older populations and the very young are the most susceptible for seasonal influenza, those individuals from 6 months to 24 years of age, as well as those 24 to 64 years old who have medical conditions that put them at greater risk for infection are the most at risk for 2009 H1N1. There is some evidence that people over the age of 55 may have some protective antibodies due to previous exposure to a similar H1N1 strain that circulated in the early 1950's, but this has yet to be backed by significant evidence.

Finally, many people should also consider getting a pneumoccoal vaccine to protect against secondary bacterial pneumonia infections that take advantage of the body's weakened immune defenses while infected with the flu. Secondary bacterial pneumonia can be a deadly complication of the flu virus. It is recommended that all adults over age 65 receive the pneumococcal vaccine, as well as those 2 to 64 years of age who fall into the following categories: chronic cardiovascular, pulmonary, or liver disease, alcoholics, residents of nursing home or long-term care facilities, anyone with immunocompromised or immunosupressive conditions, as well as any adults who smoke cigarettes or have asthma.

Contrary to paranoid conservatives, new-agey liberals, and a sensationalist media, flu vaccine (both kinds) is perfectly safe. I've addressed the safety of vaccines in general in previous posts. Read up if you like, or leave comments with questions and I'll gladly answer them. And before you ask, yes, flu vaccine does have the potential side effects of dizziness, sexual nightmares, and sleep crime.

Check the CDC's website for full flu vaccine and pneumococcal vaccine facts as well as the latest press update regarding the status of H1N1 influenza in the United States.

Saturday, October 31, 2009

Health Care Reform? We Haven't Even Started...

For months we've been inundated by what the media refers to as the 'Health Care Debate'; politicians, lobbyists, tea-party protesters, and media pundits trying to influence how we're going to achieve health care reform. Well, we haven't even scratched the surface. To be honest we haven't even begun talking about true health care reform, merely health insurance reform. And while there have been some modest proposals and a bit of discussion outside the realm of health insurance, the real debate that needs to occur has largely been relegated to the sideline.

With both houses of congress actually making moves to get bills out of committee and onto the floor, it is crucial to remember that when a health insurance reform bill passes, and one will, the job is not yet done. While we may actually see some fairly meaningful insurance reform occurring by 2013, the real change that needs to take place will take decades and will depend not on the commitment of the Obama administration, Harry Reid, Nancy Pelosi, or any other individual or group of politicians, it will depend on the public's ability to continue to demand the change that the majority of population knows is necessary.

So what really needs to occur in order for this painstaking health insurance reform push to mean anything? I'm going to break it down from my perspective across a series of posts in the next few days. In my opinion, true health care reform needs to occur in three ways: (1) health insurance reform, (2) health care delivery reform, (3) food reform.

Health Insurance Reform Includes...
  • Universal Coverage and no exemptions based on pre-existing conditions
  • A robust public option and state-based experiments in single-payer systems
  • An inclusive, national insurance exchange
  • Personal and employer mandates
  • Death panels
  • Subsidies for low-income populations and tax-exemptions for small businesses
  • Reduction in insurance overhead costs and cost-saving measures to Medicare
Health Delivery Reform Includes...
  • Reduction in prescription drug costs and greater incentives towards use of generics
  • Payment method alterations and the elimination of 'fee-for-service'
  • Movement towards group practice and local/regional coordination of care
  • Increase in and incentives for primary care doctors and nurse practitioners; reduction in specialists
  • Socialist-Fascist bureaucrats to the staff the death panels
  • Effective use of deductibles to control unnecessary spending
  • Tort reform and medical courts to reduce 'defensive' medicine
Food Reform Includes...
  • Increase in food labeling measures for nutrition facts and ingredients
  • Tighter quality controls, greater transparency, and decentralization of the meat-processing industry
  • Experimental taxes on sugary drinks and other unhealthy foods
  • Greater nutrition education and other measures to counteract the obesity epidemic
  • Higher taxes on the overweight and obese (that's 2/3 of the population you know)
Can you spot the outliers in each set of reforms? In my next three posts I'll attempt to break down and expand upon each step in the process. We'll also ponder how it is that Fox News can manage be such stalwart defenders of the public's interest... a truly amazing news organization they are.

Thursday, October 29, 2009

The Higgs-Boson Particle & the Future Dictating the Present

Wow... I've always enjoyed theoretical physics, partly due to the sheer impossibility of wrapping one's head around some of the concepts, and partly due to my former roommate's willingness to translate the more basic theories into remedial English for me to more easily ponder. Also, Carl Sagan, that guy is great.



The most audacious experiment in all of modern physics is known as the 'Large Hadron Collider' (LHC), an 18-mile diameter ring buried underneath the border between France and Switzerland. The purpose of this $9 billion behemoth, operated by the European Organization for Nuclear Research, known by the acronym CERN, is to essentially smash protons into one another at just shy of the speed of light. At certain points within the machine, the proton beams will be allowed to cross and smash into each other. Scientists hope to study the potential new particles that arise from these collisions. The most prized of these theoretical particles is called the Higgs-Boson particle, also known as the 'God Particle', which is theorized to imbue all things with mass.

Well it turns out that God doesn't want us playing with his particle. The project has been beset by various delays over the past 9 years of its construction, the most recent coming in the form of the connection between to magnets being destroyed shortly after the machine was switched on. Oh, and a French particle physicist employed by CERN was recently arrested for potential ties to the North African wing of Al-Qaeda. Nevermind that the lunatic fringe has repeatedly warned that such a colossal machine working on the edge of our scientific knowledge could inadvertently create a black hole and destroy the world.

Now, two highly-regarded physicists, Dr. Holger Bech Nielsen and Dr. Masao Ninomya have postulated that these various hurdles and delays may not simply be coincidence. Rather, they propose that the existence of a Higgs particle is so 'abhorrent' to nature, that the future may in fact be attempting correct the past and prevent a Higgs from forming.

I'll give you a moment to read that over again...

"It must be our prediction that all Higgs producing machines shall have bad luck,” Dr. Nielsen said in an e-mail message quoted in this recent NYT essay. Further evidence can be found in the fact that in 1993 the United State Superconducting Supercollider project, also designed to find the Higgs, was cancelled, even after billion of dollars had been spent, he argues. So yes, they are basically saying that the future is correcting the past.

The Times articles gives a more thorough account of the two physicists and their theories, more fully described in this publication, and followed up by this paper. As far as most others involved with the project are concerned, it will be moving forward soon, when they begin to inject particle beams into the machine in November.

Regardless of the outcome (and sure hope its not a world-ending black hole) isn't it exciting to live in a time where we can recreate the Big Bang in a hole in the ground, realistically postulate about time-travel, and have so many options on the 99-cent value menu?

Wednesday, October 7, 2009

Timeout: I Win!

I'm sure most people would say this has nothing to do with public health, but the success of my fantasy football team has a lot to do with my personal health, so I thought I'd point out that I totally beat Yahoo! Sports blogger Andy Behrens to the punch when I proclaimed that Steve Smith of the New York Giants was now the #1 Steve Smith in the league, supplanting Steve Smith of the Panthers.

I made my claim in this post, on Sunday October 4th. It took Behrens until Wednesday to make the same obvious realization... This guy gets paid to write about sports, and I blog about public health in my spare time. I think Yahoo! should hire me instead.

Adam - 1, Yahoo! Sports - 0

Also, Yahoo's weekly point projections for fantasy players is awful.